AI will help make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within a year, says Anthropic co-founder
TL;DR
Jack Clark describes ‘vertiginous sense of progress’ and ‘profound changes’ to society alongside risks of technology An AI system will work with humans to make a Nobel prize-winning discovery within 12 months and tradespeople will be helped by bipedal robots in two years, according to the co-founder of Anthropic. Jack Clark described a “vertiginous sense of progress” in the technology and made a series of predictions, including that companies run solely by AIs would be generating millions of dollars in revenue within 18 months, and that by the end of 2028, AI systems would be able to design their own successors.
Nauti's Take
Opportunity: if Clark's forecast lands even halfway, AI dramatically accelerates scientific breakthroughs — research teams already AI-fit will grab pole positions in pharma, materials and biotech. Risk: such megaclaims from an Anthropic insider double as marketing, pump valuations and distract from the safety backlog.
Practically: science and industry teams should put AI tools into production now rather than wait for the Hollywood moment — betting purely on the promise is the losing play.
Sources