AI was supposed to destroy jobs. Where’s the carnage?
TL;DR
The predicted AI jobs apocalypse has not arrived. A year after stark forecasts from Dario Amodei and Sam Altman, there is no visible mass loss of entry level white collar work. Companies did cite AI in layoff announcements, while workers organized and students reconsidered their career paths. Economists expect further change, but the pace, the scale and the roles affected all remain open.
Nauti's Take
The missing jobs apocalypse is good news with substance: a year after the Amodei and Altman forecasts, there is no evidence of mass white collar job loss. The catch is that shifts in task mix surface late in labor market data, and a single Guardian report is too coarse to measure them.
Small teams should record handling time, error rate and task mix before introducing AI, then compare the values after four weeks.
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