5 / 2008

AI is only "part" of high U.S. productivity growth, says Stripe economist

TL;DR

AI appears to improve workers' efficiency in a number of sectors. The U. S. has experienced a surge in economy-wide productivity in the last couple of years.

Nauti's Take

The upside sits in the detail: if the surge comes mostly from better capital use, then AI's potential is largely unspent and most of the gain is still ahead. The risk is expectation management — justifying AI budgets with macro numbers currently argues past the data.

For mid-sized firms the honest metric is internal: time per task, not national statistics.

Sources